Basics and Method
From The Unicist Wiki Library
Contents |
The foundation
To ground is to argument in a reasonable, understandable and verifiable way. One needs to have foundations in order to diagnose.
Verification of the foundations needs to be real, and its understanding must be comprehensive. Without experimentation there is no possibility of either real or comprehensive verification.
Forecast
All diagnosis is set into motion through a forecast. There is no diagnosis without a forecast. A diagnosis without forecast is a mere statement on the truth of something, which, as such, has neither motion nor added value.
To forecast is to anticipate an objective reality describing its evolution in light of the nature that its concept describes.
The subjective aspects such as illusions, fears, beliefs, needs and so on exert influence on the forecast. Therefore, it is a situation in which there is a high risk of falling into fallacies so as to “believe” in what one is looking for or avoiding.
The anti-concept of forecasting naturally leads to failure of the research work and takes place whenever the diagnosis is dominated by:
a) rationalism,
b) perception of the chaos of evolution,
c) ideas where there should be concepts,
d) high emotional content.
The forecast can be carried out by analogies or homologies. One can forecast on the basis of homologous experiences, that have the same essence, or through analogous experiences, that have the same operative function.
The diagnosis of complex systems requires that the forecast be made by homologous experiences since analogies of complex systems are fallacious simplifications.
Logical inferences and derivations are the basis for the construction of complex systems forecasts.
Method and Taxonomy of the Research of Complex Systems
To do research on the structure of complex systems, through the knowledge of concepts that regulate them, is probably one of the most difficult tasks when developing methods of fundamental analysis. The essences cannot be observed and therefore one part of the research in based on logical inference with validation in its application in the real world. Only operative concepts can be forged and that is why these certainly belong to the world of sciences. Functional concepts include laws of evolution that go beyond science and which belong to the world of logical behavior. It is easier to research the extrinsic concepts than the intrinsic ones. Extrinsic concepts can be validated through observable experiences. Instead, intrinsic concepts can only be validated through the forecast of their behavior, the measurement of the actual behavior occurring and the validation of the conceptual structure when there is a total certainty of such forecast. That is why the research of intrinsic concepts requires a lot of “chronological” time.
Method
In order to do research on concepts one must have a conscious experience in the field under study. It is only with this experience that hypothesis can be developed. The methodological steps to follow in the research are as follows:
1) Development of a hypothetical structure of the functional concept
2) Analysis of the concept and its division into sub-concepts (only when necessary and possible)
3) Decomposition of the parts of the concept into observable facts
4) Development of the fields of application in order to use the concept to validate its behavior
5) Development of the concept’s application experiences to forecast reality
6) Development of at least five experiences in the concept’s field of application, differing completely one from the other.
7) Develop forecasts of al least three periods with full certainty
8) Restart the research process every time a deviation occurs.
When working in homologous fields one has the advantage of being able to transport the functional conceptual structures from one field to another. Research is carried out using the same methodology but the experience in the homologous field allows one to establish the first hypothesis.
Operative concepts, which behave as pre-concepts, are the scientific grounds supporting the research of functional concepts. Functional concepts are divided into as many sub-concepts as needed to validate their structure.
An adequate research will allow the transformation of a complex system into a simple system through the knowledge of its concepts.
